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who wins?

Count Nefaria.

Count would win, not as easily as people think.

Its never easy. But he wins nothless. the guy operates on a level above.

CN seems to be misunderstood alot here, he isn't as powerful as people may think.
But, he's more powerful tha Colossus.

CN level of power depends on his chance to tap into ionic energies of other ionic imbued beings.When he faced both the Avg and T-Bolts, he tapped into WM and Atlas ionic energies, and he was unstoppable.
Even the weapon created from Madame Masque to make his energy drop off start to affect him only after him losing control and going mad.
Altough without guys like Simon or Josten at his side, Nefaria was beaten from Captain America alone.

without those guys he also lifted an oil tanker off the ground with ease.... he's too much for Colossus

K3 when did nefaria got beaten by cap?

I remember him beating Thor casually at that.

About a year before his most recent demigod trip, he showed up in a Cap story set in the Savage Land, where he was trying to have mutates created who's powers he could tap. Without being able to leach himself into a powerhouse, he was no match for Cap.

Default state (little more than human) Luchino would not even tickle Colossus. Juiced up, the count would dominate.