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This is a pure h2h fight. Captain Marvel cannot use her photon blasts nor go binary. She's limited to pure physical fighting like she was when she fought off those Skrulls near the beginning of her movie.

Bucky is in his Winter Soldier mindset, meaning he's out for the kill.

Fight takes place in a parking lot. Who wins?

Winter Soldier destroys Billy.

Carol, nor Billy are not in the same league in h2h... Bucky kills

Bucky is too skilled.