Bentley: 21/1 - seemingly a horrible matchup, but if this were an actual betting line, I'd happily put some cash on Bentley with the potential payout, given Kang's sneakiness.
DS: 18/1 - While Creel is an excellent draft, this is another matchup issue as DS states above me. However, two out of three combatants will escape this match, so a slipup by either could vault DS into not just better odds, but competitive odds with anyone.
LoB: 14/1 - He'll be the favorite in Round 1 because of the matchup, but it's LoB. If he takes his meds and comes with his A-game, he'll be more difficult to beat. If the poodle-rage takes over and he's reduced to red text, though, anything is possible. This is like the team with the talent to beat anyone, but inconsistency mars their record.
Beatboks: 8/1 - Id and Boks both have solid drafts and plenty of debating chops. Slight edge to Id for having been to the winner's circle before in these things.
Id: 6/1 - See above.
Leo/Supermutant: 4/1 - The statistically easiest R1 matchup (along with DS) since 66% of the entrants will get to round two. Backed with one of the high herald standard bearers (Surfer) and oodles of tourney experience (Leo).
If I weren't judging and this were true, I'd throw some money at Bentley on the off chance that LoB rage-fails and/or Kang has a massively interesting plan. Also probably Supermutant just from the combo of the safest draft and favorable R1 matchup. Literally every pick is reasonable and powerful as hell, so I don't see an obvious "avoid" candidate.
Odds
Leo vs supermutant vs DS: I got Leo. Old man is crafty and we gave have him extra take to draft and feed him after midnight which is a a big no no
Bentley vs LoB: I got LoB.
Id vs Beats: I can take him. I give myself all the best odds. Come at bro!
Everyone save Damborgson a headache and submit your write ups through http://text-share.com. Believe me this forum is pure ass when it comes to quote copy paste.
I bet on myself, because despite being the underdog in my match, and despite drawing attention to myself, I'd like to think my debating will carry me through despite having a relatively weaker character.
LoB and Id to win their matches. Supermutant is the other from my match, just because it's Surfer....
I don't think Creel is weaker, given that Mjolnir is in the match. But you're maybe perceiving it compared to your banned drafts, which were indeed more powerful. When I was going to participate, he was among those I considered. And despite Loki's creation of Absorbing Man, I'm not sure he can reverse it. So it's likely more narrative than functional. So you may be right that your odds are higher than they should be in my list up there.
Gender: Male Location: Planning to take over the WORLD!
lol
i think i'll manage to come up with something functional in my match--i don't have to be the bestest, just can't be the worstest. i'm holding out for bentley in his match. i got the faith mon ami! id's match could be the closest call but i've always been a fan of the shaman so i'll stick with him.
Gender: Male Location: Planning to take over the WORLD!
well, i mean surfer IS surfer. only reason i didn't take him was because i thought it would be too easy to win with him. i mean, anyone who has surfer and DOESN'T win should probably retire their kmc membership and hide forever in shame....
Technically, iirc, Thor and Hawkeye are the most decorated draftees in KMC tourney history (three wins each), though my old stats thread hasn't been fully updated for recent stuff. Regardless, Damborg did a nice job leveling the playing field. Clearly anyone who took Odinson would waltz to a victory, so taking him out of the equation was the only fair choice.
Digi odds makes a lot of sense. With the right plan anyone can win. Even weak Loki with Thor' s power and hammer combine with his magic. Yea SS is vastly more powerful than Loki, remember that judges.