KMC Forums - Delph's Tourney- Odds Thread.

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Delph's Tourney- Odds Thread.
Started by: SwindlingSmurph

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DarkCrawler
KABOOOOM!!

Gender: Male
Location: Finland

Third time's the charm. stick out tongue

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Nov 24th, 2007 05:39 PM

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Charlotte DeBel
White Queen of KMC

Gender: Female
Location: Belarus

Well...I won't be giving any empty promices. Just that we'll do the best against you. And see what we can get... I'm sure you have some trump cards in terms of prep...That's "for shizzle".

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Last edited by Charlotte DeBel on Nov 24th, 2007 at 05:48 PM

Nov 24th, 2007 05:46 PM

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grey fox
KMC Magik Founder

Gender: Male
Location: Britain

Being the merciful guy I am , I'll reveal our battle motto.

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Nov 24th, 2007 06:17 PM

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Digi
Forum Leader

Gender: Unspecified
Location:

Alright. Time to break this down logically.

With 7 teams, everyone naturally has around a 1/7 chance of winning. This tournament has the least number of "noobs" ever in a tourney, as nearly everyone is a veteran member, and most have some tourney experience. History dictates that experience means a lot, so the teams with past champions should get a slight nod in the odds. That means BW/DC and Leo/myself/Newjak are slight favorites. DC, Blair, and Leo are past champions, and Nj and I have been successful and I've probably been involved in every tourney ever in some capacity (host, judge, participant, etc.)

Nvr's team has been getting more attention than the others, so that squad should likely get the "dark horse" moniker for this tourney.

So odds?

BW/DC and Leo/Digi/Nj - 21 to 5
Nvr/Faceman - 14 to 3
Everyone else - 7 to 1

...this of course doesn't take into account my own personal bias on peoples' teams.

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Nov 24th, 2007 06:25 PM

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nvrbeenwthagirl
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Gender: Male
Location: Anti-Forum Elitist. I put Elitist i

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quote: (post)
Originally posted by DigiMark007
Alright. Time to break this down logically.

With 7 teams, everyone naturally has around a 1/7 chance of winning. This tournament has the least number of "noobs" ever in a tourney, as nearly everyone is a veteran member, and most have some tourney experience. History dictates that experience means a lot, so the teams with past champions should get a slight nod in the odds. That means BW/DC and Leo/myself/Newjak are slight favorites. DC, Blair, and Leo are past champions, and Nj and I have been successful and I've probably been involved in every tourney ever in some capacity (host, judge, participant, etc.)

Nvr's team has been getting more attention than the others, so that squad should likely get the "dark horse" moniker for this tourney.

So odds?

BW/DC and Leo/Digi/Nj - 21 to 5
Nvr/Faceman - 14 to 3
Everyone else - 7 to 1

...this of course doesn't take into account my own personal bias on peoples' teams.

Explain The "dark horse" moniker to me.

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Nov 24th, 2007 06:29 PM

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grey fox
KMC Magik Founder

Gender: Male
Location: Britain

quote: (post)
Originally posted by DigiMark007
Alright. Time to break this down logically.

With 7 teams, everyone naturally has around a 1/7 chance of winning. This tournament has the least number of "noobs" ever in a tourney, as nearly everyone is a veteran member, and most have some tourney experience. History dictates that experience means a lot, so the teams with past champions should get a slight nod in the odds. That means BW/DC and Leo/myself/Newjak are slight favorites. DC, Blair, and Leo are past champions, and Nj and I have been successful and I've probably been involved in every tourney ever in some capacity (host, judge, participant, etc.)

Nvr's team has been getting more attention than the others, so that squad should likely get the "dark horse" moniker for this tourney.

So odds?

BW/DC and Leo/Digi/Nj - 21 to 5
Nvr/Faceman - 14 to 3
Everyone else - 7 to 1

...this of course doesn't take into account my own personal bias on peoples' teams.

I find that highly insulting, Me and Psy were Silvers dude, SILVERS !

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Nov 24th, 2007 06:29 PM

DarkCrawler
KABOOOOM!!

Gender: Male
Location: Finland

quote: (post)
Originally posted by nvrbeenwthagirl
Explain The "dark horse" moniker to me.

A new guy who might surprise. Or something like that.

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Nov 24th, 2007 06:30 PM

grey fox
KMC Magik Founder

Gender: Male
Location: Britain

quote: (post)
Originally posted by DarkCrawler
A new guy who might surprise. Or something like that.

I thought it was due to his many 'almost banned' characters ?

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Nov 24th, 2007 06:32 PM

Smurph
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Gender: Male
Location:

Dark Horse essentially means you're the favored underdog, and the counterintuitive choice for a winner because people usually go straight for the team of the previous champions.

Nov 24th, 2007 07:08 PM

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TricksterPriest
Renegade Timelord

Gender: Male
Location: Hiding from The Doctor, shhhh.....

Technically, if the dark horse is about almost banned guys, my team should be the dark horse.

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Nov 24th, 2007 07:38 PM

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Digi
Forum Leader

Gender: Unspecified
Location:

Yeah, it was a compliment nvr.

wink

And I thought about counting the nearly-banned or disputed people for each team, but never got around to it.

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Nov 24th, 2007 08:17 PM

Blair Wind
The Iron Avenger

Gender: Male
Location: Stark Tower

quote: (post)
Originally posted by King Kandy
I see it as my personal duty to beat you, given my record.

Me and Whatshisface Vs. You and BW: Horrible, humiliating loss. I didn't really understand the concept.

Me Vs. Blair Wind: Loss. But a fighting loss.

Me, Akuki and Charlotte Vs. You and Blair Wind: Win?

Try your best smile

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Nov 24th, 2007 08:29 PM

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nvrbeenwthagirl
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quote: (post)
Originally posted by DigiMark007
Yeah, it was a compliment nvr.

And I thought about counting the nearly-banned or disputed people for each team, but never got around to it.

Ok Thanks for the compliment.

I'm having a problem with DC++ Tho. I may have to drop out if I can't get me and face's scans together. We only have 5 battles done so far and I need scans. Is there some other way I can get the scans I need?

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Nov 24th, 2007 08:31 PM

Charlotte DeBel
White Queen of KMC

Gender: Female
Location: Belarus

quote: (post)
Originally posted by Blair Wind
Try your best

We didn't enter the tourney for nothing...and making someone look like underdog is as valid of a strategy as plasing numerous paper tigers around.

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Nov 24th, 2007 08:32 PM

Blair Wind
The Iron Avenger

Gender: Male
Location: Stark Tower

quote: (post)
Originally posted by nvrbeenwthagirl
Ok Thanks for the compliment.

I'm having a problem with DC++ Tho. I may have to drop out if I can't get me and face's scans together. We only have 5 battles done so far and I need scans. Is there some other way I can get the scans I need?

You have already written up your write ups for 5 different battles? confused

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Nov 24th, 2007 08:35 PM

Blair Wind
The Iron Avenger

Gender: Male
Location: Stark Tower

quote: (post)
Originally posted by Charlotte DeBel
We didn't enter the tourney for nothing...and making someone look like underdog is as valid of a strategy as plasing numerous paper tigers around.

I was being sincere. Why do people assume everything I say is sarcastic?

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Nov 24th, 2007 08:36 PM

nvrbeenwthagirl
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quote: (post)
Originally posted by Blair Wind
You have already written up your write ups for 5 different battles?

Yes.

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Nov 24th, 2007 08:38 PM

Charlotte DeBel
White Queen of KMC

Gender: Female
Location: Belarus

Funny. It's like an old Russian saying "It was all fine on the map, but we forgot about the pits and stuff on the battlefield". Writeups for 5 matches? No way.

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Nov 24th, 2007 08:41 PM

nvrbeenwthagirl
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quote: (post)
Originally posted by Charlotte DeBel
Funny. It's like an old Russian saying "It was all fine on the map, but we forgot about the pits and stuff on the battlefield". Writeups for 5 matches? No way.

Well we have to do it this way. my partner is in the police academy so I have to get his ideas before hand and hash them out with my own plans. We are really just doing the attack plans and hashing out the amalgams at this point since there is no way to tell what the enemy combatants are going to do with thier characters. But it doesn't take a genious to see that we have to prepare for the worst case scenarios. Which would be 6 herald lvl beings blowing up the planet. Super Saiyan Jubilee FTW.

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Nov 24th, 2007 08:45 PM