All three of the sources you cited said 404 error when I clicked them. I, off course, posted a working link with the most recent real clear politics polling which had Clinton up 2.1 % points nationally. She coincidentally won the popular vote by almost 2 percentage points.
But let's go with your math over real clear politics' given your self-declared expertise.
National polling averages, unlike your links, are reliable.
And I did the math for you to clearly see: it's 5.04%, not 2.1%
Are you a true idiot or do you not understand why people were upset and shocked why Trump started winning in places he should not have been? Be honest...do you truly not know that places like CNN showing Hillary ahead by 24 points, makes no sense at all?
realclearpolitics most recent poll averaging explicitly says that
A. Clinton was polled at 3.2%
B. The final election results had clinton getting 2.1% of the vote:
3.2-2.1 = 1.1%
The polling average not off by 5%, it was off by barely 1 %
She lost because polls were specifically off on battleground states, not because the national polls were off by a significant margin. Indeed, Hillarly had more votes nationally. As we were talking about national polls, that Hillarly lost electorally isn't relevant.
I have no idea why you're trying to do your own stats when I've repeatedly linked you to realclearpolitics polling data, data you yourself have linked as a source.
Last edited by Rockydonovang on Nov 30th, 2017 at 09:38 AM
You're wrong. Polling average was off by 3% with a variance of 2-5%, like I stated.
And the polls reflected an average of 5.04% Hillary victory. When the credible scientific polling houses were reviewed, the "big 11", they were off by 3.3%, as linked. Why is this important? Because CNN's poll is not scientific so them being off by 21% is correctly not part of the standard 11 national polls.
Try some more. Try to find other ways to be right. You're still wrong.
Account for places like CNN that had Hillary at +24 points.
I've done the math. The data has been aggregated. No matter how you try to shift the conversation, the average showed Hillary at +5.04%. I've done the average. I've done the variance. My numbers are right. Anything you come up with that contradicts me will be wrong. This is not me being arrogant. If you find a source that says anything that contradicts me, they will be wrong. Why? Because I've done the math myself and I showed my work.
The original statement I made, which had your jimmies super rustled was that I said the polls were off 2-5%. Deal with it.
Any polls that were off by greater than their margin of error majorly f*cked up. Very few got it right.
You should be asking, "What does their incorrect number represent when I can clearly see the math you did is sound and correct?"
Because my math is visible for you to see. It is not hidden. I did not fudge numbers. It is quite clear that the average shows Hillary at 5.04%, not what you're linking.
The numbers don't lie. You've been wrong this entire time. You always have been. I've now done the math for you to demonstrate this. If I was trying to hide something, I most certainly would not explain it and show my work like I've done.
You should be asking them why their numbers clearly do not reflect a correct analysis.