ToddianGirl
I got this from KTC. Terry posted this on his and Ted's Message board wordplayer.com
Terry wrote:
>> My prediction: AWE will earn more than DMC over its lifetime, but it will take time.
Mmm, I really don't think so. There's a business side to the movie biz, and there are some consistent factors to box office.
DMC made 132 million in one weekend. That's crazy. That's a mob frenzy. It was a case of the stars aligning, Depp's mystique, appreciation for the first movie, a great title, excellent trailer, no competition ... tulip mania hitting its height.
With Spidy and Shrek as options, if AWE still opens to a VERY VERY GOOD 70 million dollar weekend, that will still be 50% less than the record (and I'm not kidding, the critics will of course blame the screenplay).
If you start at 70 instead of 130, there is no way -- with Harry Potter waiting -- you can get to 425. Last summer, worldwide, everyone backed away from Pirates. We don't have that next summer.
And -- DMC had so many new things to offer -- you had to go see the Kraken, you had to go see Davy Jones, you had to see the rolling bone cages and the fight on the wheel, etc., Jack running from cannibals, Jack with the Black Spot, etc.
It's not known yet if AWE has that kind of must-see appeal. Best thing about AWE, in my opinion, is Geoffrey Rush is back. And a kick-a** ending.
Now I think Pirates will do well, of course. $600 million worldwide at least. Nothing wrong with that, except that the bar has been raised so high.
Now that he says that AWE is to have a Kick Butt Ending that only means on thing Right? JACK SPARROW!
Terry wrote:
>> My prediction: AWE will earn more than DMC over its lifetime, but it will take time.
Mmm, I really don't think so. There's a business side to the movie biz, and there are some consistent factors to box office.
DMC made 132 million in one weekend. That's crazy. That's a mob frenzy. It was a case of the stars aligning, Depp's mystique, appreciation for the first movie, a great title, excellent trailer, no competition ... tulip mania hitting its height.
With Spidy and Shrek as options, if AWE still opens to a VERY VERY GOOD 70 million dollar weekend, that will still be 50% less than the record (and I'm not kidding, the critics will of course blame the screenplay).
If you start at 70 instead of 130, there is no way -- with Harry Potter waiting -- you can get to 425. Last summer, worldwide, everyone backed away from Pirates. We don't have that next summer.
And -- DMC had so many new things to offer -- you had to go see the Kraken, you had to go see Davy Jones, you had to see the rolling bone cages and the fight on the wheel, etc., Jack running from cannibals, Jack with the Black Spot, etc.
It's not known yet if AWE has that kind of must-see appeal. Best thing about AWE, in my opinion, is Geoffrey Rush is back. And a kick-a** ending.
Now I think Pirates will do well, of course. $600 million worldwide at least. Nothing wrong with that, except that the bar has been raised so high.
Now that he says that AWE is to have a Kick Butt Ending that only means on thing Right? JACK SPARROW!
Unless he was talking about what it represented, obviously the black spot made Jack realize something about his life. That was why he was acting the way he did Notice Terry also mentions the cannibal scene.
"Depp's mystique". thats hot.