__________________ "Happiness is a lie. Life is horror. The light is always dying all across the universe. The last star will flicker out someday, when it does, all that remains is shadow. And I will be its king!"'-Amahl Farouk
Current Rogue certainly has a chance. She has the ability to absorb Arthur's powers without even touching him as she did in her most recent fight with Carol Danvers.
Rogue can fly though Carver. I'll have to check but from what I recall she did not have to make physical contact and appeared to be back to her classic strength levels. She could certainly win. Remember she was able to take a punch from Binary that sent her flying for miles. Also if you recall, Rogue easily absorbed Thor's powers and stopped Wonder Man's charge back when she had to use touch. My point in bringing this up is to say that she palmed Thor's face for a moment and KO'd him. I can't see why she couldn't win this?