Originally posted by Time-Immemorial
Why do some like LA times, Rasmussen have him up? Did you know those two polls were the most accurate in 2012?
Rasmussen was horribly inaccurate lol. The LA times poll selected its repeated sample based on their reported 2012 vote, yet there is plentiful evidence that people tend to report that they voted for the winner even when they hadn't; this would muddle the democratic-leaning part of the sample. When you reweight the poll without that metric, you get pretty much the same figure as the RCP average.
But if you don't believe me, you're welcome to invest your savings in the betting markets.