To my knowledge (correct me if I'm wrong) Matt has never defeated Tasky in hth combat as they've only stalemated. So it could possibly go either way in a hth battle although I lean towards Matt myself for a slim majority.
On the other hand, with standard gear I see Tasky winning the majority in straight melee combat unless DD uses his environment to his advantage to outsmart him.
Agree completely about it more or less being a split. Really depends on whos writing Taskmaster. I think currently hes being written to be a pretty big threat, so I might be inclined to give him the slight majority depending on his gear. Also Daredevil has a handful of specific weaknesses, shouldnt Taskmaster be aware of them by now?