Originally posted by Symmetric Chaos
Don't many of these countries have strong tribal ties? Like to the extent that being a country is just a formality to simplify things for the rest of us. If Gadaffi promises to increase the prestige of a person's clan/family/tribe they might very well kill people from the other groups without hesitation (as they don't identify with those people).
interesting... I'll admit I don't understand tribal culture at all...
but didn't Qaddafi's own tribe recently turn against him (to be fair, this could be different in Yemen, Syria, etc)
I remember seeing more serious news reports, but here are a couple:
http://www.asharq-e.com/news.asp?section=3&id=25512
http://mg.co.za/article/2011-04-27-libyan-tribes-call-on-gaddafi-to-go
I can almost clearly remember an AJE brief where they showed the tribal leaders saying they would support a rebel gvt over that of Qaddafi
Originally posted by Symmetric Chaos
Barring that I've always thought that was supports many of these regimes is a sort of Prisoner's Dilemma. Gadaffi will have you or your family killed if you defy him (I assume). If no one stands up to him their families live and they get money. If everyone stands up to him they all go free. If only some of the people stand up to him then their families and lives are at risk.
Look at 1984 for a great example of how this works. Part of being in the group is an outward appearance of fanatical support so that when you look around that's what you see, everyone is fanatically pro-Gadaffi. Now they might be acting just like you are but if you broach the subject and they're genuinely pro-Gadaffi you and your family are dead.
I guess my problem is that I don't see this as enough... sure, in Yemen and in Libya we see military veterans and generals going to the side of the rebels... but can we really explain the behaviour of other soldiers as being motivated strictly through this kind of calculus?
I mean, consider yourself as a soldier... at what point do you consider your own actions as being more reprehensible than the need to save your family...
I guess, not having a family of my own and not understanding tribal society, I could be totally wrong on this, but I can only think of myself put in that situation (of course, filled with Western bias...), how could I end the life of someone who is simply calling for democratic rights, versus living with the pain of knowing I killed someone who didn't deserve it.
I can't believe such moral axioms are overridden by tribal/other types of alliances, but again, I'm admitting my ignorance.
Originally posted by Symmetric Chaos
Finally there's the issue of chaos. People really fear chaos. Even if they don't like Gadaffi its easy to rationalize that he's better than nothing. I imagine that in Lybia this is less of an issue now that the rebels already have a government of their own.
fair enough... I suppose if you don't classify living under a brutal dictator as chaos, than the specter of not having such a strongman as leader may be threatening... but idk, not that I'm trying to be critical, that just seems like such a simple answer to a position I think must be more nuanced than that...
I suppose that could be it: protect Libya in any form, promote the tribe, protect my family, and ya, putting it in 3 simple terms like that actually makes it seem really simple.... idk, I'm just really skeptical of those positions... are we to believe there are really no people who support Qaddafi? like, when he said al qaeda was feeding people hallucinogenic drugs on the streets, there are no people who supported that? is the power base of these leaders really only motivated by the survival instinct or tribal ambitions of the soldiers following them? Do we even have any evidence that the soldiers in the Libyan army are comprised of those who are from Qaddafi's clan?
lol, not that I can really argue with what you said, it is way more coherent than anything I can come up with...