Originally posted by Ushgarak
Not really. High levels in some areas, perhaps, but nothing close to 'incredible', and don't confuse crime and murder. There is no real pattern by which knives are making up for a shortfall of guns in murders, and the US proportion of murders done without guns is higher than the UK's (obviously the amount with guns is much, much higher in the US), so knife murders are actually a bigger problem out there despite the prevalence of guns. I think this speaks against the idea that banning guns simply transfers murders to knives to any significant degree.It is also unusual for more people to be killed with guns in a country than without them, and extremely rare in the first world. The US is one such country where this happens, and by a considerable margin (almost twice as many murdered by guns than by other means). I feel this points to a pattern.
It is, of course, impossible to make a direct link between gun control and lower murder/crime rates because we'd need to look into a parallel universe to compare two countries like for like, with and without. Nonetheless, I'm pretty confident that taking guns out the equation makes for a safer society here in the UK (more precisely in Britain, as the terrorism angle in Northern Ireland skews the stats history there), and it is still a point of pride that our policemen are, by default, not armed with guns.
On a straight statistical comparison, the US gun death rate is horrifying (those numbers truly do qualify as 'incredible'😉- but people who throw those numbers around aren't always aware that they relate to gun deaths from all causes, not just crime. Still, it doesn't have to be incredible to be a real issue and the whole world knows that the US has got to get on top of the guns issue.
What you said sounds legit based on research I had to do in one of my classes.
I did some fact finding to prove yours and my assumptions:
"The BCS suggests the number of violent incidents involving knives in 2005/2006 was, at 169,000. The BCS suggests the number of violent incidents involving knives in 2005/2006 was, at 169,000, around half the level of 340,000 in 1995, though it had increased on 2004 - 2005 and had been rising since the previous year The proportion of overall violent incidents involving knives was eight per cent in 1995 and seven per cent in 2005 - 2006."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1546085/The-vagaries-of-UK-knife-crime-statistics.html
http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20110218135832/http://rds.homeoffice.gov.uk/rds/crimeew0607.html
That's 6 year old old data and they report in the same article that violent knife crime was on an upward trend but overall knife crime was....down (I thought all knife crime was considered "violent"😉?
Population of the UK in 2006: 60,409,000.
The knife crime per 100,000 people in the UK in 2006: 377.56
For the US, there were 473.6 violent crimes per 100,000 people.
http://www.disastercenter.com/crime/uscrime.htm
But that's an apples to oranges comparison. We need gun crime, only, not all violent crime (gun crime can include robbery just like the UK statistic).
The best I could find was this write-up by the UK Guardian:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/jan/10/gun-crime-us-state
The chart at the bottom splits up gun crime (it's STILL an apples to oranges comparison) into 3 categories: Murders, Robberies, Assaults:
If we add those up, we get the total.
That's 89.29 gun crimes per 100,000 people. That's much much lower than the 377.56 per 100,000 knife crimes reported in the UK.
Why is that an Apples to Oranges comparison? The 377.56 UK knife crime figure is based off of REPORTED crime from individuals and the 89.29 US gun crime figure is based off of crime logged with local law enforcement (many crimes go unreported to local law enforcement and the FBI pulls that data annually for analysis, IIRC).
This means that yours and my assumption is still probably correct and this is also why Symmetric Chaos may still be correct: we are all right.
But I will note that SC's perception may not be fairly representing the picture. Do those stats show that the knife crime rate in the UK is "incredible"? Why, yes, it does: it's 4.22 times higher than our gun crime in the US. Is that a fair comparison? Probably not.
Comments? Criticisms? You know, I could totally be wrong and that is a legit comparison. Does anyone have a chart like the one presented by the UK Guardian for the UK instead of the US? If so, that would do MUCH better to give us a legit comparison. I could not find one and the report cited by the UK Telegraph was the best I could find under short notice.