Of course it's speculation how much it would amp her, but none of what was stated about the full moon is hyperbole. It's a hyperbole because we don't know how powerful it makes her? That makes 0 sense at all. All we know is that it amps waterbenders, and it's been stated outright by Katara that she noticed her waterbending is stronger at night. That should be good enough for you. I don't know how much it amps waterbenders, and that isn't even what we're discussing, we're discussing whether or not the amp would be significant, which it pretty obviously is considering the Fire Nation halted their invasion because of the amp it gives waterbenders.
Don't ask me how much her power level increases, I don't know that, but what we do know is that in general a waterbender's power is increased.