ONE POWA! odds thread

so, i saw no one opened this so...here it is. here are the chosen powers and users:

Originally posted by Blair Wind
[list][*]DarkSaint: Darkforce Dimension Portal Teleportation

[*]Digi: City Control

[*]Delph: Technopath

[*]Carver: Weather Manipulation

[*]Leo: Size Manipulation

[*]Smurph: Ability to mimic animal powers

[*]Scoobs: Gravity Control

[*]Reflasshh: Tactile TK

[*]Krisblaze: Radiation Production/Control

[*]Martian: Mirrorworld manipulation

[*]Time: Magnetism

[*]Spawning: Electric

[*]Abhi and celeyhyga17: Super Speed

[*]StyleTime: Telepathy

[*]Sin: Adaptive Evolution

[*]Max: Hazardous material production/control
[/list]

it's a real-world setting, everyone knows where everyone is within a 50 mile radius and no closer, and it's basically a last-man-standing deal. so, thoughts?

Sin should take it. Evolves to beat everybody he fights. If he gets ganged up on though I don't think he can evolve rapidly enough to take on multiple people.

Sin evolved a dick, too

Smurph
/End

I bet Sin will beat us all to death with her new developed dick.

The epilogue will be she sitting in a throne in the middle of a city that now resembles to an Scandinavian version of themyscira.

Originally posted by KingD19
Sin should take it. Evolves to beat everybody he fights. If he gets ganged up on though I don't think he can evolve rapidly enough to take on multiple people.

no alliances though. everyone for themselves. re: smurph. it's a good pick, but the red doesn't exist in the real world so i think that limits things a little bit. i thought about ivy but....no green. :/ i also thought about forge initially and if i were smarter irl i would have taken metamorpho. lol.

Originally posted by leonidas
no alliances though. everyone for themselves. re: smurph. it's a good pick, but the red doesn't exist in the real world so i think that limits things a little bit. i thought about ivy but....no green. :/ i also thought about forge initially and if i were smarter irl i would have taken metamorpho. lol.

Enemy of my enemy mentality. If everybody knows each others powers(that is the basis of my theory) then it would make sense to temporarily work together to take down the person who can beat everybody here.

Also my power is speaking words into reality. Sin is indeed a man now. 😱

even enemy of my enemy doesn't work. i agree--darwin is gonna be maybe the toughest out in this thing. even if she's a he. sneer

Now?

Also, Id, why did you leave?

Several picks were made after I took Hawksmoor's ability, so my estimation of my own chances isn't quite as high as it might be otherwise. But I still like my pick.

There are 17 combatants, which gives each of us something 5.88% chance to win. Even if we identify favorites, I think the best we can push someone is to about 15-20%. So even in the best case scenario for a particular character/debater, the odds of them winning are far lower than they are for the rest of the field.

Based on power sets and old tourney history, Scoob, Leo, Smurph, Delph, and myself should be slightly higher than average. Sin seems to be a popular early pick as well, and I can't say I disagree.

Someone's going to have to separate themselves, though, and in a field this large, it's possible for a clever tactic or two to bring a dark horse to the fore, especially if the battle seems to shift toward others taking each other out.

My odds of winning are slim to none considering my whole strat relied solely on light speed. I'm nothing for than a flash in the pan. Pun intended. 🙁

I say Digi and Delph are top contenders with DS coming in close second

Originally posted by maxivitopowe
I say Digi and Delph are top contenders with DS coming in close second

You mean third, right?

😛

Just a reminder to send yer writeups in, everyone. Blair has four currently, and the deadline is tomorrow. I'd rather have a 17-way battle, not less than half that.

We get - I think - two posts, so 20K characters max.

Originally posted by Digi
Just a reminder to send yer writeups in, everyone. Blair has four currently, and the deadline is tomorrow. I'd rather have a 17-way battle, not less than half that.

We get - I think - two posts, so 20K characters max.

Just because you can use 20k, doesn't mean you have to.

Short and sweet guys, don't bore your judges

Originally posted by Scoobless
Just because you can use 20k, doesn't mean you have to.

Short and sweet guys, don't bore your judges

Here's mine:

I kill carver. Then I don't care

Deadline being tomorrow, does that mean they have only a few hours left to get them in?

Get writing, people!! Wonder who the judges will be. My biggest fear is Carver. I dedicated 30k words on him alone. With diagrams, and a rap video.

It'll suck if only 4 or 5 people actually take part after all the talk, not many threads grow that fast.

Anyway, who decides the winner? I doubt anyone will 100% convincingly take out every other competitor, so will it go by numbers?

Eg; player A convinced you he'd kill 7 other players, but player B convinced you he'd kill 8.

So player B wins even if player A convinced you he could kill player B.

Player C killed both A and B but no-one else, so he loses...

Finishing the writeup now guys, prepare!

Or do we try to combine all strategies into one single battle?

A took out B instantly, then moves on to Target F
C, D and E all, independently, targeted A
D used an area attack and by chance kills A, C AND E in one stroke, but saves F
at this point A, B, C and E would all be dead, meaning we need to ignore the rest of their plans....

I smell a cluster f##k coming

😗 😗 😗 😗