Can Star Wars: TFA beat Avengers: AOU at the box-office?

Better make sure dem Lens Flares don't take your eye out 🙂

Lightsaber battles will no doubt be full of the lens flare.

The Villain is gonna be like the guy from that Dungeons and Dragons movie. I'm not expecting much from this.

Originally posted by playa1258
Does Star Wars have a chance?

No, it can't and it won't.

Originally posted by Lestov16
Quite honestly, I'm thinking Star Wars will be the bigger BO draw. Winter time is a massive help, as evidenced by Avatar, and people will be going not just for entertainment, but to judge if JJ managed to undo the terribleness of the prequels, not to mention (for hardcore fans) to see if the retconning of the EU was justified. If the movie is good, people will love it. If it's bad, people will love bytching about it. Either way, I think it is more anticipated IMO.

Another thing is that AOU is the adaptation of a story already told in comics, whereas TFA will be entirely new, so that gives it an edge in anticipation IMO

SW won't win.

Originally posted by relentless1
Avengers has a great audience no doubt but EVERYONE will flock to see a new Star Wars, a Star Wars that will have the original gang in it. TFA will win the box office title this year

Avengers had a hype train built up over the course of four prior movies itself, and a reputation for quality at that point.

SW has a chance but it's no guarantee, or even that high of odds I'd say.

Originally posted by Mindset
Avengers has a much bigger audience.

SW won't win.

"Much bigger audience"? Nah. TPM adjusted for inflation made almost as much as the Avengers and of course the original SW film made far more.

Admittedly, I except AoU will make more but it's no guarantee. Especially with the original cast returning.

Domestically it is going to be much closer, WW Avengers has to suck hairy ass to lose.

Originally posted by ares834
"Much bigger audience"? Nah. TPM adjusted for inflation made almost as much as the Avengers and of course the original SW film made far more.

Admittedly, I except AoU will make more but it's no guarantee. Especially with the original cast returning.

Marvel movies have been earning more and more money. AoU will likely top the first.

Also, at this point, Avengers does have a bigger audience.

ROTS was the number one film of its year, and its first weekend did $108 million AFTER opening on a Thursday.

Originally posted by playa1258
ROTS was the number one film of its year, and its first weekend did $108 million AFTER opening on a Thursday.

It made ~50million less than TPM.

TPM did lots of damage I agree. I feel with the original cast returning and the word of a much improved film by Abrams, I feel Star Wars has a chance.

Originally posted by Mindset
TPM was the first SW movie in like 20 years, how did the following 2 movies do? I'm guessing not so well. The last 3 SW have left a sour taste in people's mouths. There was more anticipation for TPM than there is for this new one coming out.

RotS did very well actually. Regardless, this film is the sequel to the OT and has the original cast returning which will be a big help. I certainly expect numbers nearer to TPM then the other two. And if the film is actually good, I'm expecting numbers beyond TPM.

Originally posted by Mindset
Also, at this point, Avengers does have a bigger audience.

Sure. Just not "much bigger."

Originally posted by playa1258
Everyone said AOTC would beat Spider-man. Spidey smashed it.

I thought smashing was the other guy's job.

Episode VII be like the J.J Star Trek movies: Serviceable, but forgettable. Whether you liked The Avengers or not, Joss Whedon has got a style to his writing and directing that is memorable. All J.J has is lens flare.

Originally posted by Impediment
The Avengers made almost twice as much as Episode III.

I think Episode I's box office is more relevant. If we account for over a decade of inflation TPM Box office was probably approx the same as Avengers (I would guess).

Originally posted by Impediment
Then again, the PT was very underwhelming.

Episode I had the major hype and box office, but then Episode 3 was the best of the series. That can only help Ep.7 that the Prequels ended well Imho. Plus now we're getting the Original trio back, that will only increase the hype for this.

Interesting that Ep. 7's trailer got more hits than Avengers AOU though.

All that being said, AOU will beat Ep. 7 by a few hundred million Imho. I think the real question is if Star Wars 7 can make as much as the Original Avengers.

Originally posted by Mindset
The last 3 SW have left a sour taste in people's mouths.

Actually Revenge of the Sith was generally well received. And add in 10 years of inflation and 3d ticket prices, it was probably the equivalent of a Billion Dollar hit in today's term (or at least very close to it).

Anyway you're right. Avengers AOU will beat it. But SW7 will also make well over a Billion Imho.

Originally posted by playa1258
As for as I know Star Wars will be in 3-D, if not, than yeah Avengers has a big advantage.

Ah right, It's being filmed in 2d which is why I thought that, but it appears it will be converted to 3d post-production. Should have known Disney wouldn't miss out on 3d ticket sales after spending $4bill on getting SW:

http://www.cinemablend.com/new/Star-Wars-Episode-VII-Filming-With-IMAX-Cameras-43801.html

Thanks for the replies.

Bump. 😖hifty: