2020 Presidential Election Discussion

Originally posted by Silent Master
Ah, that explains why they haven't called them yet.

Correct.

Penn is 64% reported. Almost all early votes are counted in a ratio we can expect. It heavily leaned towards Biden (because those are the early votes) in the beginning. But as the in-person votes started coming in, Trump quickly overtook the early Dem voters.

There is a huge margin between Biden and Trump in Penn, at the moment. Yet, they still aren't calling it. Based on the current figures, Biden would have to win the rest of the remaining votes at almost a ratio of 2 to 1 in a state where that wasn't even the case with the early mail in votes.

This is what I meant but the election being done as all "toss-up" states are no longer toss-ups. That includes Georgia.

Arizona is quite odd. Hardly any Biden votes have been added since they started reporting at 72% reporting in. Now they are at 77%. What's up with Arizona? Did almost all the Dems in Arizona do early voting? I guess that makes sense since Arizona had so many COVID-19 cases.

Take, for instance, Georgia:

Total votes cast: 4,297,578

Current votes for Trump: 2,272,787
Current votes for Biden: 2024791
Difference: 247,996 Trump

Estimated total votes: 4,939,745

Votes left to count: 642,167

So if the remaining votes go to Biden in a ratio of 2 to 1, final count would be:

Trump: 2,486,854
Biden: 2,452,925

Trump still wins Geogia. Mind you, the ratio has never been that extreme.

But, yet, the media still won't call Georgia.

Originally posted by Newjak
Maine also hasn't been called either.

That means that the formulas probably still have Biden having a chance in those states to still win :/

It shouldn't be this close, Trump should be losing by a 100 EC votes. how can the Dems not run someone that would destroy Trump? This is the second time they've F'd up.

For those interested, this is he 2016 election map results and compare it to the "current standings" for 2020:

Looks like it will end up nearly identical.

Originally posted by dadudemon
Correct.

Penn is 64% reported. Almost all early votes are counted in a ratio we can expect. It heavily leaned towards Biden (because those are the early votes) in the beginning. But as the in-person votes started coming in, Trump quickly overtook the early Dem voters.

There is a huge margin between Biden and Trump in Penn, at the moment. Yet, they still aren't calling it. Based on the current figures, Biden would have to win the rest of the remaining votes at almost a ratio of 2 to 1 in a state where that wasn't even the case with the early mail in votes.

This is what I meant but the election being done as all "toss-up" states are no longer toss-ups. That includes Georgia.

Arizona is quite odd. Hardly any Biden votes have been added since they started reporting at 72% reporting in. Now they are at 77%. What's up with Arizona? Did almost all the Dems in Arizona do early voting? I guess that makes sense since Arizona had so many COVID-19 cases.

Take, for instance, Georgia:

Total votes cast: 4,297,578

Current votes for Trump: 2,272,787
Current votes for Biden: 2024791
Difference: 247,996 Trump

Estimated total votes: 4,939,745

Votes left to count: 642,167

So if the remaining votes go to Biden in a ratio of 2 to 1, final count would be:

Trump: 2,486,854
Biden: 2,452,925

Trump still wins Geogia. Mind you, the ratio has never been that extreme.

But, yet, the media still won't call Georgia.

Maine hasn't been called yet either

Someone pray for Robtard in this difficult time

Originally posted by Artol
I don’t think that’s right about the House of Representatives.

Originally posted by dadudemon
They finally called Florida, feels like they waited a really long time to call Florida for Trump. Odd since Trump won Florida like two hours ago.

Anybody know why they waited so long to call Florida?

Probably just paranoia because of the 2000 election.

Biden is down by less than 2% now in Georgia with hundreds of thousands of votes left to count in the Atlanta area. Biden had a real chance of winning it and if he does he’d only need to win any one of Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania to become president. Assuming he wins the states he’s ultimately expected to win like Nevada and what not.

Originally posted by BackFire
Probably just paranoia because of the 2000 election.

Biden is down by less than 2% now in Georgia with hundreds of thousands of votes left to count in the Atlanta area. Biden had a real chance of winning it and if he does he’d only need to win any one of Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania to become president. Assuming he wins the states he’s ultimately expected to win like Nevada and what not.

According to the map, almost all counties around Atlanta are at 99% and Fulton is over 88%.

https://www.businessinsider.com/georgia-presidential-election-2020-live-vote-counts-results-2020

Georgia can be called for Trump, by this point. Almost all counties are at over 99%.

For anyone interested, NC is done but no one seems to be reporting it.

Straight form their own election board site, 100% reporting in and Trump won NC:

https://er.ncsbe.gov/contest_details.html?election_dt=11/03/2020&county_id=0&contest_id=1373

Originally posted by dadudemon
According to the map, almost all counties around Atlanta are at 99% and Fulton is over 88%.

https://www.businessinsider.com/georgia-presidential-election-2020-live-vote-counts-results-2020

Georgia can be called for Trump, by this point. Almost all counties are at over 99%.

The uncertainty there is why they aren’t calling it yet.

Originally posted by Silent Master
It shouldn't be this close, Trump should be losing by a 100 EC votes. how can the Dems not run someone that would destroy Trump? This is the second time they've F'd up.

Still surprised Wisconsin and Michigan haven't been called at this point.

As well as Arizona and Maine for that matter.

Biden was just a terrible choice for a candidate. The dems didn't learn from their mistake last time. They needed an exciting candidate not a "safe" and supposedly "electable" one.

They do seem very hesitant to make calls this year though. That is true. I’m guessing it’s because this is a weird and unique election and they’d rather avoid getting egg on their face by calling a state only to have mail in votes come in later and reverse the decision.

I’m having trouble seeing how Biden can win Pennsylvania right now though. Lot of votes left to count in the Phillie area but not enough to make up a 800,000 deficit.

Trump gonna win.

Trump is in a much better position than most people thought he’d be in.

Originally posted by BackFire
74-88 it says. Not just 88. Meaning they aren’t sure exactly how many votes are left. Other maps have it closer to 74%.

The uncertainty there is why they aren’t calling it yet.

Even if all remaining votes in Fulton, at the lowest estimate of 78%, that's barely enough to win by 10,00 votes.

133,030 votes left, at the most. And other counties are not done yet.

Since we know Biden will not be able to win even close to that many, Fulton won't change the outcome.

This is the simplistic math that the news peeps refuse to do because they want to make it seem close.

Georgia has stopped counting for the night and will resume in the morning.

As far as NC goes. The reason the state hasn’t been called yet is because the state accepts mail in ballots for several days after the election.

As far as NC goes. The reason the state hasn’t been called yet is because the state accepts mail in ballots for several days after the election.

What absolute horseshit.