Before China released this virus onto the world (sorry, not buying that it was an "accident"😉 and the overreaction to it which has severely damaged our economy I would've said with the utmost certainty that Trump would easily win regardless of who the democratic nominee would be. Now, I'm only like 70% sure that he'll win.
Are Older Voters Turning Away From Trump?
There are different "gaps" in American politics, but one that has consistently shown up in recent presidential elections is the age gap. That is, younger voters tend to vote more Democratic and older voters tend to vote more Republican.
In 2016, for instance, President Trump performed best among voters 65 years and older. He also won among those between the ages of 45 and 64. So looking ahead to November, you might expect Trump to once again do well with older voters. However, recent public polls—and the president’s own private polling—suggest that Trump may be doing worse among older voters against former Vice President Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee.
In national head-to-head polls conducted since April 1st, Trump is barely breaking even with most older Americans—and in some age groups, he's even trailing Biden by as much as 1.4 points (see 45- to 64-year-olds).