Election map predictions

Originally posted by Blakemore
I figured there are probably a lot of members here who like to predict the outcome of the election and even though it's early, I think we all know it's going to be a Trump vs Biden election. No prediction is definitive and you can make as many as you want, but I feel this will make for interesting discussion points.

Anyway, this is mine as of this date.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/2j8ZZ

I think you're wrong with Minnesota and Ohio likely could flip Blue again in 2020. Just those two changes to your map nets Biden a win.

Michigan likely could go Blue again

Florida is another that could flip Blue, but I'd not bet on it cos Florida.

edit: Had to check to make sure, but Obama carried both Minnesota and Michigan in 2008 and 2012. Biden can do it in 2020

Originally posted by Robtard
I think you're wrong with Minnesota and Ohio likely could flip Blue again in 2020. Just those two changes to your map nets Biden a win.

Michigan likely could go Blue again

Florida is another that could flip Blue, but I'd not bet on it cos Florida.

edit: Had to check to make sure, but Obama carried both Minnesota and Michigan in 2008 and 2012. Biden can do it in 2020

Wisconsin is also a bit of a toss up but if I were to rank the midwest from Rep to Dem I'd go:

Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan/Minnesota, Pennsylvania

the rest will probably stay as they were in 2016.

According to current polling trump is in trouble in just about every swing state. He’s even trailing in Georgia by a point but that is within the margin of error. And he’s only winning Texas by one point. If that polling is correct and doesn’t change he’s done. Of course we saw how inaccurate polling could be in 2016 so we will see if the polls right themselves this time.

Originally posted by Blakemore
Michigan is more likely than Ohio imo. I'm only really going on Minnesota because it's main city has been destroyed. Biggest Dem place gone to me means a Rep state.

Wisconsin is also a bit of a toss up but if I were to rank the midwest from Rep to Dem I'd go:

Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan/Minnesota, Pennsylvania

the rest will probably stay as they were in 2016.

It's not as if people in Minneapolis moved out of state... Anyway, the city is far from "destroyed".

Kinda like how he was "in trouble" against Hillary all throughout 2016, eh? Sorry, but anyone who still puts much stock in those "scientific" polls is naive.

Whoever wins we all lose

Originally posted by ares834
It's not as if people in Minneapolis moved out of state... Anyway, the city is far from "destroyed".

I feel it's nonsense. I feel that, after 2016, anyone who thinks they can guess who can win based on polls, etc. is delusional

I'm not relying on polls!

Polls or election maps or fairies or crystal balls, i don't care what you're relying on

Originally posted by carthage
Whoever wins we all lose

Nah. If Trump wins he'll bring back law and order to our country. If Trump wins ( which I'm fairly certain he will), that'll make me very happy and only anti-Trump retards will be the losers.

Originally posted by Surtur
I feel it's nonsense. I feel that, after 2016, anyone who thinks they can guess who can win based on polls, etc. is delusional

👆

I think Trump will win decisively in the Electoral College and Biden may win the popular vote.

Originally posted by BackFire
According to current polling trump is in trouble in just about every swing state. He’s even trailing in Georgia by a point but that is within the margin of error. And he’s only winning Texas by one point. If that polling is correct and doesn’t change he’s done. Of course we saw how inaccurate polling could be in 2016 so we will see if the polls right themselves this time.

I'd err on the side of caution and half Biden's leads. The Bradley effect where people are too embarrassed to say they they're voting for Trump (ie cowards) and the uneducated White males who are less likely to do a poll than their educated counterparts.

Trump's in trouble, more trouble than he should be as the incumbent, but he's not done.

Originally posted by eThneoLgrRnae
Nah. If Trump wins he'll bring back law and order to our country. If Trump wins ( which I'm fairly certain he will), that'll make me very happy and only anti-Trump retards will be the losers.

Why didn't he do that in his first term...

Originally posted by Robtard
Why didn't he do that in his first term...

Because he was too busy doing the important work of triggering the libs.

Originally posted by Robtard
Why didn't he do that in his first term...

Uh, because people weren't rioting and looting like a bunch of thugs on such a widescale as they are now.

Communist losers weren't taking over cities like they are now in Seattle, either.

I mean, do we really wanna get into a "why didn't he do that" debate? Really?

We can. It wouldn't end well for democrats considering what Obama didn't do, but we can have that debate nonetheless.

Originally posted by eThneoLgrRnae
Uh, because people weren't rioting and looting like a bunch of thugs on such a widescale as they are now.

Communist losers weren't taking over cities like they are now in Seattle, either.

So excuses. I thought Trump was the toughest and manliest man president ever, certainly how he sold himself.

He probably can’t even wipe his own ass.