Originally posted by Astner
How do you even compare the success of the midterms? Isn't the turn-out rates for Democrats higher during the presedential election than it is in the midterms? Even a "success" may result in loss in the number of congress represenatives depending on what you consider to be a success.
My comment there wasn't about the midterms, just Biden's month-to-month approval, he's gone up recently due to Republicans taking away women's rights and getting his Inflation Reduction Act passed without Republican support. We'll see next month what this debt forgiveness move does to his popularity. I think it will increase, but not by much.
We can measure success in the November midterms, as historically the party who controls the White House (Executive branch) tends to lose in the House and Senate (Legislative branch) in the midterms elections. Just a couple months ago Republicans were set to take control of both the House and Senate and by a lot, now it's looking like they could lose a seat or two in the Senate, thereby not gaining control, while gaining control of the House is still likely, but not by as great a margin. Imagine if they fail taking the House too, that will be a party of complete failure.