BackFire
Blood. It's nature's lube
I believe you misunderstood. The metaphor that represented "evolution" was income, not money in a physical sense. "Investment" was used metaphorically in place of the concept of "Probability"(Chance). Since all of these terms can be used as abstract concepts, the comparison is not fallacious.Evolve essentially means "change". One's income can evolve into wealth, however, there are a lot of environmental, economic, and financial factors that need to take place in order for this to happen.
Taking all these factors into consideration, one could logically surmise the assumption of a nickel investment would automatically lead to some form of wealth..would be a very poor one.
Nah, I got it just fine. The problem is it is errenous in the way that it is insinuated.
For the comparison to be proper, you'd have to assume quite a few things about it, having to do with the investment, the investor and the market at the time of the investment.
1. Whether or not the investor was able to turn a nickel into a million dollars has to do with a lot more then simply "probability". It has to do with his training, his experience, and his knowledge of the at the time of his investment.
2. The fact that the terms are abstract simply take away from the merrit of the comparison, seeing as the terms used could mean something different to you then they do to me. It means you could be thinking that you're comparing one thing, and I could be thinking that you mean something completely different because the terms could have multiple meanings.
3. Again, money can't evolve. If you have a certain amount of income, gaining more isn't a "change". It's still the same money, it just becomes more of the same money. Instead of having one nickel, you have many nickels. It's still the same money.
4. You didn't mention the biggest factor, the desire and need to make the money. If someone desires money, if they work at it, they can get it. If they start out without much income, if they work at it, and learn, they can make themselves much money. It is rare, but it has happened, just is the case of macro evolution. Not every species ever existant evolved, a small ratio has, that doesn't mean it's impossible.
Like an income of a nickel being able to produce wealth, the odds of one species of plant/animal evolving into another are very slim...in fact they are almost non - existant. One could even say, that someone with "extra-ordinary" intelligence, would have to be manipulating said odds in order for either situation to happen...
How do you know this? We haven't been keep historical data long enough to witness a change of a species, seeing as this takes thousands and thousands of years. We have, however, seen some form of evolution, or change, within a species. So who's to say that in another 3 or 4 thousand years, some species may be totally different then they are now. We've seen evolution, it has occured, we just haven't been around long enough to witness a full blown change in species.
I believe if you read my responses above..you'll get your answer.
So basically your answer is - With the right training, frame of mind and basic need to survive or "increase your wealth" it is possible to change a nickel to a million dollars, or for species to evovle into other species eventually. Am I wrong? If so, feel free to drop the cryptic fallacious "question with a question" bullshit and just come right out and say what you really mean.