United States Presidential Election 2008 - Official Discussion Thread

Started by Strangelove143 pages

Originally posted by Strangelove
538.com's founder Nate Silver accusing RealClearPolitics of a Republican bias in their poll averages.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/09/real-credibility-problems.html

Guess I was right to abandon it.

Follow-up

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/rcp-follow-up.html

Originally posted by Strangelove
Yeah, but not everything that the news media may say is immediately suspect.

To me it is.

Originally posted by Shakyamunison
Not according to all the people at work. They are all Republicans and can show you clips on the Internet that make Obama look like an ass. However, that was not my point.

Can you not read? I said stupid and ignorant, has shit to do with looking like an 'ass'. During that interview, or any other, Obama hasn't looked dumb, he hasn't looked ignorant. At least not on such a consistent level as Palin has lately.

And I'm not talking about random cherry picked clips on the internet where he may say something dumb or put his foot in his mouth while on the stump, I'm talking about completely fair interviews where the candidates should be at their very best. Palin looked stupid during her interview. Not because of editing, not because of some whacky bias, but because she said dumb things several times in a row.

New Projections: fivethirtyeight.com

Electoral college: Obama 336 - 202

Win percentage: Obama 85.4% - 14.6%

Popular vote: Obama 51.4% - 47.0%

Swing states or states likely to switch party from 2004:
Colorado: Obama +6.1 (win percentage: Obama 84% likely to carry)
Florida: Obama +2.4 (Obama 70%)
Iowa: Obama +12 (Obama 95%)
Indiana: McCain +0 (Obama 51%)
Michigan: Obama +7.4 (Obama 88%)
Missouri: McCain +0.4 (McCain 52%)
North Carolina: McCain +0.1 (50-50%)
New Hampshire: Obama +3.4 (Obama 72%)
New Mexico: Obama +9.3 (Obama 90%)
Nevada: Obama +2.1 (Obama 66%)
Ohio: Obama +2.4 (Obama 68%)
Pennsylvania: Obama +6.8 (Obama 86%)
Virginia: Obama +4.4 (Obama 79%)

If it ever seems like I'm gloating when I post these numbers, it's because I totally am.

Originally posted by Shakyamunison
To me it is.
When it comes to the talking heads, I would absolutely agree. But if you actually apply the same skepticism to both Bill O'Reilly and Brian Williams, you're just bonkers.

Do you not believe the New York Times when it says that there's a financial crisis because it's "corrupt"?

I might not even vote. I think taking a shit would be more productive. Especially where I live, its blue as my balls after a night at the strip club.

Has it actually been established where you live, KidRock? I'm just curious.

Originally posted by Strangelove
Has it actually been established where you live, KidRock? I'm just curious.

If memory serves (and it always does), he's named Boston before as his residence. But it's subject to change, if he needs an anecdote to use in a debate.

I remember him saying a while ago that he was thinking about moving to New York.

To be with all those liberals that he secretly loves.

Originally posted by KidRock
I might not even vote. I think taking a shit would be more productive. Especially where I live, its blue as my balls after a night at the strip club.

Bring me next time. I'll show you how to get extras.

Originally posted by Strangelove
Has it actually been established where you live, KidRock? I'm just curious.

Panhandle of Connecticut, near the border of NY and NYC. I have said I would meet someone here in NYC sometime if they chose to, even if to prove i am not a redneck hahaha.

Err, I mean, West Virgina ya MO-RON! Do ya gots manure for brains?!

Originally posted by Robtard
If memory serves (and it always does), he's named Boston before as his residence. But it's subject to change, if he needs an anecdote to use in a debate.

I only say Boston when I am making fun of Fist of the North and his "all white people in Boston are racist" shtick.

Originally posted by KidRock
Panhandle of Connecticut, near the border of NY and NYC. I have said I would meet someone here in NYC sometime if they chose to, even if to prove i am not a redneck hahaha.

Err, I mean, West Virgina ya MO-RON! Do ya gots manure for brains?!

Alright, cool. Constitution State ftw.

and haha.

edit

Originally posted by Strangelove
When it comes to the talking heads, I would absolutely agree. But if you actually apply the same skepticism to both Bill O'Reilly and Brian Williams, you're just bonkers.

Do you not believe the New York Times when it says that there's a financial crisis because it's "corrupt"?

My skepticism is restricted to politics, and I feel very bonkers every four years. 😆

Originally posted by BackFire
Can you not read? I said stupid and ignorant, has shit to do with looking like an 'ass'. During that interview, or any other, Obama hasn't looked dumb, he hasn't looked ignorant. At least not on such a consistent level as Palin has lately.

And I'm not talking about random cherry picked clips on the internet where he may say something dumb or put his foot in his mouth while on the stump, I'm talking about completely fair interviews where the candidates should be at their very best. Palin looked stupid during her interview. Not because of editing, not because of some whacky bias, but because she said dumb things several times in a row.

"I'm talking about completely fair interviews where the candidates should be at their very best." I don't believe in Santa Clause.

Originally posted by Shakyamunison
"I'm talking about completely fair interviews where the candidates should be at their very best." I don't believe in Santa Clause.

While Katie Couric did have a pole up her ass in the Palin interview, no one forced Palin to give the answers she gave.

Isn't Conneticut like, one of those smarter richer states?

Originally posted by Robtard
While Katie Couric did have a pole up her ass...

I just came.

Originally posted by BackFire
I just came.
So did I, but I was watching porn.

Why Sarah Palin Inspires Me

YouTube video

Al Jazeera owns, yet again

this lady is dumb though.

Originally posted by inimalist
[b]Why Sarah Palin Inspires Me

YouTube video

Al Jazeera owns, yet again

this lady is dumb though. [/B]

Anyone counted how many Blacks there were in this whole video?

Was it one?

It was one, wasn't it?