Symmetric Chaos
Fractal King
Originally posted by Dolos
You can't hate them for being speculative. You can laugh them out of the scientific community for discarding scientific rigor and predicting dates as fact, but they aren't really doing that.
Its more a matter of ways of approaching a problem. The engineers go "Lets solve this." while the scientists go "Lets understand this." (these are both effectively strawmen, just for purposes of illustration).
Engineers tend to write off all of the actual scientific work involved as simple and end up with very short time tables and make ridiculous claims as a result. They're also more likely to grab data from relevant disciplines without being aware of controversies around it (his claims about mortality in the past, for example) or with willingness to write off all limitations of existing technology as something that can be quickly solved.
Do you remember stents in the 1990s? Stents were going to solve everything in surgery. Surgeons starting using stents all over the place. It turned out to be a mistake. They rushed in without a complete understanding and used stents when doing so was actually harmful.
http://www.healthbeatblog.com/2010/12/stent-scandal-a-shocking-story-but-not-news/
No one involved in this was stupid and they surgeons and medical companies had valid scientific work to back what they said. The thing is it's never what you know that trips you up, it's what you don't know. Surgeons made a tiny leap in logic ("we can do X thus we can do Y, because they're very similar) and it cost people their lives.
This kind of thing, what the article calls "gizmo idolarty" is why people are so often cynical about singularity and transcendence claims.