Last Republican Primary Season vs This One

Started by Q994 pages
Originally posted by Time-Immemorial
Who is more competent, Trump or GWB?

GWB.

There's a lot that he did wrong, but I view a big factor in the decisions as ideological choices and listening to his advisors rather than simply incompetence.

He does know how to run a good political campaign, and when a big enough crisis came, he put all the crap aside and worked with his political opponents on the Bailout, which was an incredibly critical thing to do.

Originally posted by Q99
GWB.

There's a lot that he did wrong, but I view a big factor in the decisions as ideological choices and listening to his advisors rather than simply incompetence.

He does know how to run a good political campaign, and when a big enough crisis came, he put all the crap aside and worked with his political opponents on the Bailout, which was an incredibly critical thing to do.

Do you think McCain would have been a better president then Bush?

Originally posted by Time-Immemorial
Do you think McCain would have been a better president then Bush?

Hm... if it was at the same time as GWB ran...? Part of his 'maverick' thing is he'd do some genuinely impulsive at times, which can lead to mistakes, but otherwise I think he's better...

His military background means I think he's less likely to make the same mistakes with Iraq. I'm not sure if he'd go at all, but if he did, it'd be with more preparation.

I'd say he'd likely do better but it's not a sure thing.

FivethirtyEight has updated their 'five ring circus' of Republican factions, including Trump now:

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Note Trump's placement within the Tea Party ring doesn't mean that he is a Tea Partier (I don't know if he's made a statement on it), but that he draws heavy support from them, he's quite popular with that crowd, who tends to be pretty angry with the Establishment Republicans.

And his position as the only one deep within that ring helps explain why his support is so heavy. Where the Establishments split their support multiple ways, as do the Moderates and even the Religious, the tea party faction otherwise only has people at the borders like Walker. Thus, a strong anti-establishment candidate is able to get a good hold on them, and until some of the other factions stop splitting support, is likely to hold his advantage.