TE
Let's be real; Hillary Clinton is probably going to win
Every single major model (PEC, 538, etc.) gives Hillary the edge, as do the betting markets, and a simple aggregate of the polls.
Is it possible for Trump to pull an upset? Yeah, but at this point people are just saying he'll win either out of pessimism or hopeful fantasy, neither of which are very good substitutes for the hard data.
I think a lot of people are not very separating who they want to win from who probably win win.
LOR
LordofBrooklyn
Senior Member
Re: Let's be real; Hillary Clinton is probably going to win
Originally posted by The Ellimist
Every single major model (PEC, 538, etc.) gives Hillary the edge, as do the betting markets, and a simple aggregate of the polls.Is it possible for Trump to pull an upset? Yeah, but at this point people are just saying he'll win either out of pessimism or hopeful fantasy, neither of which are very good substitutes for the hard data.
I think a lot of people are not very separating who they want to win from who probably win win.
What does Nate Silver have to say about your premise?