Ellimist, you responded with quite a lot for me posting so little. All I did was state the very short fact and then quote the article. 🙁
Originally posted by The Ellimist
Maybe I'm skimming the article, but I think it also says that Millennials are more likely to identify as liberal...
No, it doesn't state that. It states, literally, "...if you compare young people now to young people in previous decades, those now are more conservative..."
It does say that young people are more polarized, for sure. But it is not more polarized in favor of liberalism. It says, "...the researchers found that the polarization that has emerged in the millennial generation may be driven by conservatives."
Originally posted by The Ellimist
1. The baby boomers will fade before the Millennials become as old as them.
What do you mean "fade"? If you mean their numbers will be greater, I agree as that has already happened: millennials now number more than Baby Boomers respective to electorate.
Originally posted by The Ellimist
2. If the Millennials end up turning right, they'll still make up a smaller share of the electorate at that age than the baby boomers will, leaving more for the next generation, which will presumably be quite liberal.
Well, based on exit polling, seems quite a very large amount of young people, compared to previous elections, voted for Trump. This is not to say that they were conservative but they voted for a conservative candidate that had very strong conservative positions (gun control (or lack thereof), immigration, etc.).
Take a look at this data (it is a lengthy read but compare like-statistics to see what I mean):
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/11/08/us/politics/election-exit-polls.html
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/race/president/
This result/data has gotten pundits scratching their heads. They are unsure if this is Trump-esque data or if this is a new trend of a conservative backlash (I guess I should say that this is a liberal backlash...a backlash against liberals). I think a position like yours is too strong of a stance in the wrong direction to be a right one, at this time. If I were to make a guess on trends and data, it would be the opposite of yours: seems we may be more conservative in the foreseeable future than we were in the past...
But perhaps that is false and it is simply self-identification that is conservative and not actual positions? Because they say that the millennials are extremely accepting of things like drugs and the LGBTQ community compared to previous generations.
What are your thoughts?
Originally posted by The Ellimist
3. If the Millennials end up turning right, that'll likely be relative to their time, so the new republican party, if it exists, would look a lot more like the democratic one of today.
I don't know if I agree or disagree with this. I can argue both sides of it. When I get like that, it is better for me to just agree. I am not too sure, as you and I have agreed on in the past, about the future of the GOP. Perhaps Trump is the swan song of the GOP?
Originally posted by The Ellimist
In either case, the Left tends to win in the long run, but it seems like that's going to be especially true in the coming generations, thanks to the demographics shifts.
What do you mean the left tends to win? I can argue against and for you on this so perhaps you clarifying what you mean will mean we agree.