So the stuff I've been talking about for weeks is now being modeled and epidemiologists are putting warnings out:
Lockdowns and the economic ruin are going to result in 80K deaths by suicide.
And Tuberculosis deaths are going to skyrocket because of the lockdowns killing 1.5 million people if we don't lift the lockdowns very quickly.
https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1187552.shtml
Also, lol, troll the busy-body police trying to cite people for not "social distancing" while also not social distancing from each other:
Originally posted by BackFire
It’s going to be hard to extrapolate much meaningful data for a while since all the numbers are not complete yet. Cases are being severely undercounted in general and the death toll may be as well but likely to a much less degree.
You know what? I started to type a lengthy reply about why you're wrong about the data being useless and then I remembered...you're right.
Cases are being severely under-counted but deaths are being over-counted anywhere from a little to an extreme amount.
They are doing a study with autopsies and confirmed vs. not confirmed COVID-19 deaths (that were still counted, anyway). They hope to get a true count of COVID-19 deaths. The doctors behind this research uncovered corruption with over-counting COVID-19 deaths and they want to do independent (from the CDC) research to get a true COVID-19 death count.
Another limited study (limited but still had a large enough sample size to have normalized data) found that 57% of those autopsied had other pathological diseases in their body that was just as likely to have killed them as SARS-CoV-2. Meaning, our death counts, at least from that limited study, are overblown by as much as 57%.
However, after the test kits were made more widely available after March, the data is good enough to do a comparison. The weakness will be that the virus is far less deadly and spreads far faster than originally presumed.
Preliminary eye-ball calculations lead me to believe that not locking down and not social distancing has led to fewer cases and deaths, per capita, than those cities and states that complied (using GPS data to see who really social distanced). This falls in line with what many epidemiologists have stated are the best behaviors for overcoming a SARS virus - get out and about, outside, as much as possible and not stay in small enclosed areas with family members. Respiratory illnesses should be handled differently from Ebola and Tuberculosis.
We've been slowly opening the US back up since April 24th.
The protests start in Mid-April.
Today, we had 750 deaths in the US.
If the protests and early openings would actually cause a second resurgence, we would have seen it this past week: we didn't.
We need 10-18 days to see the surges from the protests and opening up.
It didn't happen.
So the epidemiologists were correct in that it is better to get people out of small enclosed environments and out and about in the world: outside. Who would have thought that the literal SARS experts would be correct on how to address SARS?
We wait for more data to come in. If we can maintain these levels or not. We haven't seen levels this low since March 30th.