Dr. Birx gave a briefing that the original estimates of deaths in the UK for 500K and 2.2 million in the US were grossly exaggerated death counts. Like I said and modeled.
The UK numbers have been revised to less than 20K.
She also directly addressed the points I've been making for weeks: only those presenting with certain symptoms were tested. She stated that they represented 86% of those tested. Hence, the grossly inflated mortality rates. And of the remaining 14%? Special cases (celebrities, politicians, etc.) and relatives of those who tested positive when visiting the ER. In other words, more oversampling.
Start at around 1:17:00 then she gets into how the tests over-sample the sick and then watch from then on to hear her comments about the UK revising their numbers:
The same expert that predicted 500k deaths in the UK, Neil Ferguson, has backtracked and now says 20k is the predicted number. He also predicts that the UK will have enough intensive care units available for COVID-19. Amazing, right? That he's changed his position so drastically after causing part of the hysteria and panic?
His original work (with his team) said 18 months of quarantining would be necessary. Now it's going to subside in a few weeks?
UK deaths from the disease are now unlikely to exceed 20,000, he said, and could be much lower.
While this does not definitely prove me correct, it cuts very damn close to doing so. The only way this can definitively prove me correct is when all the antibody tests start coming back and we start putting up test case results from actual random samples of the population (sample statistics that are actually representative of the population - you can't over-sample the sick that present symptoms of COVID-19 and then state you have a mortality rate over 3: that's not how infectious disease statistics ever work and they know better).
Originally posted by Raptor22
Yep im the liar
Eh, it's a common enough saying in the South and the Midwest that it's just shit talking. The way he worded it and the lack of all-caps makes me think it was just shit talking like a "your mom" insult.
Doesn't seem like a literal threat of violence. I've seen supra buttmad. That's not him buttmad.
Originally posted by Bashar Teg
it's literally impossible to not use all-caps when angry. who even raised such a silly notion? and if that wasn't enough, a laugh smilie. case closed
I can appreciate this strawman but you probably didn't read far enough into my post before you decided it was time to whip out the strawman, Mr. Fantastic:
I've seen supra buttmad. That's not him buttmad.
He's an all caps rager, Mr. Fantastic. 👆
Originally posted by dadudemonit was more to display his credibility. I believed it about as much as the pms he sent me about the wars hes fought in and the "many" childrens lives hes saved.
Eh, it's a common enough saying in the South and the Midwest that it's just shit talking. The way he worded it and the lack of all-caps makes me think it was just shit talking like a "your mom" insult.Doesn't seem like a literal threat of violence. I've seen supra buttmad. That's not him buttmad.
>Accuses others of avoiding a debate, admits to stalling the debate cuz he got his fee fees hurt.
>Accuses other side of being lazy and not looking for the explanation he supposedly made, explanation doesn’t exist.
>Accuses others of being a joke, brags about real life deeds in a forum because he can’t win a debate in the internet.
>Acts tough. Runs like a coward and cries and whines like a baby.
#Raptor22logic
I've literaly never seen anyone cry so much about being told to look a cpl pgs back for something. A non stop tantrum from u since then. Dear god man
Now u have a lying nutjub like broly in here cheerleading for and u jump all over his bulge like the cure for corona is in there.
Relax man ur gonna give urself a stroke
>Accuses others of avoiding a debate, admits to stalling the debate cuz he got his fee fees hurt.
>Accuses other side of being lazy and not looking for the explanation he supposedly made, explanation doesn’t exist.
>Accuses others of being a joke, brags about real life deeds in a forum because he can’t win a debate in the internet.
>Acts tough and accuses ppl of crying. Runs like a coward and cries and whines like a baby.
#Raptor22logic
Honestly nib. Just look at the last page. U and broly combine for 8 posts in a row before i even respond. Just thinking of me, talking trash and complimenting eachother.
Back and forth. thinking of me and jerking eachother off, thinking of me and jerking eachother off, seeing who can bust the biggest i hate raptor nut in the others face.
I dont know if i should be flattered or disturbed. Since brolys involved ill err on the side of caution and go with disturbed.
Originally posted by Raptor22
Honestly nib. Just look at the last page. U and broly combine for 8 posts in a row before i even respond. Just thinking of me, talking trash and complimenting eachother.Back and forth. thinking of me and jerking eachother off, thinking of me and jerking eachother off, seeing who can bust the biggest i hate raptor nut in the others face.
I dont know if i should be flattered or disturbed. Since brolys involved ill err on the side of caution and go with disturbed.
You mean where I replied to you once and I replied to him once?
Where you then threw a jabs at me? W/c I then replied to? Wow. Much reply. So trig’d. Wow.
Didn’t know my one single reply to Broly would be counted in your head as excessive...!
Aren’t you being a little desperate here? Having to make up a false narrative? Where you have to combine my replies and Broly’s so that you can imply that I made too many? Seriously?
3/10.
Then devolve into “you trig’d, you gai and I’m in your head” teenager thread taunts?
2/10.
You’ve been pathetic from start to finish man. Clearly this was out your league. I feel bad for having to punch down so much.
Originally posted by dadudemon
Dr. Birx gave a briefing that the original estimates of deaths in the UK for 500K and 2.2 million in the US were grossly exaggerated death counts. Like I said and modeled.The UK numbers have been revised to less than 20K.
She also directly addressed the points I've been making for weeks: only those presenting with certain symptoms were tested. She stated that they represented 86% of those tested. Hence, the grossly inflated mortality rates. And of the remaining 14%? Special cases (celebrities, politicians, etc.) and relatives of those who tested positive when visiting the ER. In other words, more oversampling.
Start at around 1:17:00 then she gets into how the tests over-sample the sick and then watch from then on to hear her comments about the UK revising their numbers:
The same expert that predicted 500k deaths in the UK, Neil Ferguson, has backtracked and now says 20k is the predicted number. He also predicts that the UK will have enough intensive care units available for COVID-19. Amazing, right? That he's changed his position so drastically after causing part of the hysteria and panic?
His original work (with his team) said 18 months of quarantining would be necessary. Now it's going to subside in a few weeks?
While this does not definitely prove me correct, it cuts very damn close to doing so. The only way this can definitively prove me correct is when all the antibody tests start coming back and we start putting up test case results from actual random samples of the population (sample statistics that are actually representative of the population - you can't over-sample the sick that present symptoms of COVID-19 and then state you have a mortality rate over 3: that's not how infectious disease statistics ever work and they know better).
Cue the left suddenly deciding the doctors shouldn't be listened to lol.
I'm already seeing it in responses to a tweet from C-Span showing her speech. Saying she is a liar, saying Trump "got to her", etc.
Pathetic.
I think about 80,000 people died of snake bites last year ?
I know this is sad to say, but no, the measures in the Uk are far to economically draconian for a virus that would kill, btw, less than 20,000.
Read in the aritcle, he said the figures could be "far less".
This virus is less deadly than the seasonal Flu
Originally posted by Jew BoyThe virus may be less deadly, but it is slightly more contagious. We have yet to see how it acts in the third world. Undobtedly a great number of people have got it and sought no medical attention. Which is fine when an infrustructur exists for dealing with it when if reaches critical patients. How Africa will fair is questionable.
I think about 80,000 people died of snake bites last year ?I know this is sad to say, but no, the measures in the Uk are far to economically draconian for a virus that would kill, btw, less than 20,000.
Read in the aritcle, he said the figures could be "far less".
This virus is less deadly than the seasonal Flu