I don't give a **** what Jaime thinks. He thought he'd paste Brienne on the jaw and be done with it despite the fact that he was starving, unarmoured, and hadn't fought or even exercised in like a year, the man's judgment is dogshit.My favorite character is Stannis you pedophile.
He's not armed with a spear that can actually reliably do that, like Viper. He's armed with a 36" arming sword which would have trouble cutting through chainmail, much less piercing the thickest armour in the Seven Kingdoms.
You only briefly touched upon this but this is in fact exactly why Gregor would win, along with the much better durability and strength. Per Oberyn himself, it is "the only way to counter his reach", using a spear that is.
You're reading what you want into Bronn's words. He never described him as slow, only stating he was "never fast". So we can take it that he is not fast like some of the faster fighters or Bronn, but that doesn't mean he's slow like Strongboar is explicitly stated to be by Jaime.
Bronn said he "might" be able to, but a single slip up would mean his death. Much like it did for Oberyn, who was both the better warrior and more importantly far better equipped for the fight than Bronn would be with his standard arming sword.
My friend, there is not a single human being in history that is as strong as Gregor Clegane, who can wield a greatsword with one hand, cut people in half with it, and crush skulls with his grip strength. He killed both Raymun Darry and the horse he rode in on with a single blow, despite the fact that he would presumably be wearing plate mail. He is the only character in the books that isn't outright supernatural who is superhuman.
There might be some book characters with comparable strength, like Maelys the Monstrous, but even they don't have the same accolades or showings or sheer size as Gregor.
You also don't actually appreciate that the strength isn't even his biggest advantage over Jaime. It's durability. On top of feeling almost no pain, he is clad in the thickest and heaviest suit of plate mail in the setting, with chainmail and boiled leather below.
Jaime would have to stab at the very few weak points in Gregor's armour many times to bring him down. Gregor would have to hit Jaime a single time while having reach over twice as great. That's why Gregor would win.
He had enough stamina to fight a prolonged fight against a much less heavily armed and armoured opponent while injured from prior battles (per Tyrion) and even after getting stabbed in the armpit, behind the knee, and in the belly with a poison spear he had enough energy to overpower Oberyn and explode his skull with his hands.
Against a fighter who has to fight well inside of Gregor's range and is also clad in (useless against Gregor) plate mail I think he'll do okay.
Jaime wears a plate helm that actually is way more cumbersome and ridiculous so I frankly doubt this will be much of an advantage for Jaime.
The one (one, singular) strike Oberyn actually met directly with his shield sent him reeling backward and put him in a backward flight that was only broken when an unlucky stableboy took a hit that was meant for Oberyn, distracting Gregor with his screaming. I don't think meeting Gregor head-on is the answer my friend.
With a weapon vastly better suited for it than Jaime's that's poisoned. By contrast, Jaime would have been done after the first stab.
I don't know why you're bringing this up like it detracts from Gregor. Per both showings and every statement no non-supernatural character in the setting takes hits like Gregor. Per Bronn he doesn't seem to feel hits like he should, and as said he had enough strength to very quickly and violently kill Oberyn at the end of their fight. Do you think Jaime can endure nearly as much pain or physical trauma and still be dangerous? Not based on anything in the books.
Something that Jaime could never replicate with an arming sword lol.
I don't know why, considering Gregor was quick enough to parry and even at one point tag Oberyn who was much more lightly armoured than Jaime would be while fighting with a weapon that actually counters Gregor's reach advantage.
The bottom line is this: Jaime fights in the standard Westerosi style with a sword, shield, and plate mail. Does he have the tools to beat Gregor if he adapted against him and went with a lightly armoured with a spear set-up? Yes. But Jaime's pride as a swordsman would never permit him to do that. So he would be fighting a man who is strong enough to kill him with a single point of contact while wielding a weapon that affords him half as much reach and would have to get within bull rushing range to even attempt to do any damage to Gregor, and because of Gregor's freakish tolerance for pain Jaime risks death even if he manages to slip between plates and wound him because Gregor could kill Jaime by forcing himself on top of him and crushing his skull. Oberyn knew he had no chance of beating Gregor by fighting with a sword for those reasons. He knew entering Gregor's threat radius is way too risky to be worth it and so went with a weapon that allowed him to harass and annoy Gregor until he got tired and could go for the kill. And used poison weapons no less.
Give Jaime a valyrian steel sword or Dawn and things might be different but just as they are Jaime doesn't have what it takes tbh imo fam