The 2,000,000th post game

Originally posted by riv6672
What is the probability that the ball will land on black on the next spin?

mmm

Pretty good if you take THIS girl with you:

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=BJUjRkkM9mQ

[WhiteElo "1735"]
[BlackElo "1661"]
[PlyCount "41"]

1. h4 {[%emt 0:0:4]} Nf6 {[%emt 0:0:5]} 2. h5 {[%emt 0:0:4]} b6 {[%emt 0:0:5]} 3. d3 {[%emt 0:0:5]} c5 {[%emt 0:0:9]} 4. f3 {[%emt 0:0:7]} d6 {[%emt 0:0:9]} 5. g4 {[%emt 0:0:3]} e5 {[%emt 0:0:16]} 6. g5 {[%emt 0:0:13]} Nd5 {[%emt 0:0:13]} 7. e4 {[%emt 0:0:27]} Nb4 {[%emt 0:0:6]} 8. a3 {[%emt 0:0:10]} N4c6 {[%emt 0:0:4]} 9. g6 {[%emt 0:0:15]} hxg6 {[%emt 0:0:10]} 10. Nh3 {[%emt 0:0:21]} gxh5 {[%emt 0:0:28]} 11. Bg5 {[%emt 0:0:11]} f6 {[%emt 0:0:16]} 12. Bh4 {[%emt 0:0:13]} Be7 {[%emt 0:0:34]} 13. f4 {[%emt 0:0:7]} Nd4 {[%emt 0:0:9]} 14. c3 {[%emt 0:0:25]} Nb5 {[%emt 0:0:35]} 15. a4 {[%emt 0:0:10]} Nc7 {[%emt 0:0:15]} 16. f5 {[%emt 0:0:5]} Bd7 {[%emt 0:0:6]} 17. c4 {[%emt 0:0:23]} g5 {[%emt 0:0:4]} 18. Bg3 {[%emt 0:0:12]} h4 {[%emt 0:0:7]} 19. Bh2 {[%emt 0:0:29]} b5 {[%emt 0:0:13]} 20. cxb5 {[%emt 0:0:18]} a6 {[%emt 0:0:5]} 21. b6 {[%emt 0:0:9]} 1-0

One of the most pacifist games I think I've ever played.
Opponent gave up when I inadvertently cornered his knight with my pawn.
(Inadvertently because such was NOT a conscious goal; I had far different targets in mind.)

https://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2015-01-18-inside-the-resident-evil-4-that-never-was

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=GzGawL7spzc

Castlevania. Portrait of Ruin, iirc.

https://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/humanoids/what-is-the-uncanny-valley

Good move

In roulette, all of the bets have the same house edge except for one.

This is actually only true of American roulette, which is the most common version of the game. But I’ll write about other roulette variations in later bullet points.

The house edge is the average loss you’d expect to see on any given bet expressed as a percentage of that bet. It assumes a nearly infinite number of spins.

Here’s how to calculate it for a couple of different roulette bets:

You want to know the house edge for a bet on black. You’ll start by assuming that you’re betting $100 per hand. (That’ll make it easier to convert to a percentage.)

Then you’ll assume a perfect distribution across 38 spins.

This means you’ll lose $100 on 20 spins, and you’ll win $100 on 18 spins.

Your gross loss is $2000, and your gross win is $1800. Add these together, and your net loss is $200 across 38 spins.

To find out your average loss per spin, you divide 200 by 38. The result is $5.26.

Since we assumed a $100 bet, that’s 5.26% of each bet that’s lost on average.

Let’s look at a single number bet next. That bet pays off at 35 to 1 when you win.

You win $3500 once, but you lose $3700 on the other 37 spins. You still have a net loss of $200, which is still an average of $5.26 per bet.

The only bet with a different house edge is the 5-number bet. This is a bet that you’ll wind up with a 0, 00, 1, 2, or 3. It pays off at 6 to 1.

So you’ll win this bet 5 times out of 38, which is a net win of $600 X 5, or $3000. But you’ll lose this bet 33 times, for a loss of $3300. Your net loss is $300. Divide that by 38, and your average loss per spin is $7.89.

That’s the worst bet at the table, so you should avoid making it.