Originally posted by The Ellimist
I said that it's possible to say what's likely to happen, not what's certain. How many times does this have to be repeated to you?
Nah you said this, and tried to make me look stupid, look who looks stupid AF now?
Originally posted by The Ellimist
...or it's like saying that there's this concept called probability. Statistical polling models have historically been incredibly accurate, with PEC getting the exact electoral margin for Obama in 2012. That seems more precise than Stigma's "gut feeling" (lol).Ignoring the people like TI and Stigma who reject the validity of mathematics or something, the simple answer to the question is that Hillary is more likely to win the election than not - that's what every remotely credible model has concluded. Some models (.i.e. Sam Wang's) give far higher certainties than others (.i.e. Nate Silver's), but they all project a Clinton victory. I tend to lean towards Sam's.
Who bought Gold and Silver, who didn't?