Originally posted by Robtard
Biden Beats Sanders, TrumpThe latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds Biden earning 48% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Trump’s 42%. Nine percent (9%) are undecided. -snip
We’ve Got Some Early Trump vs. Biden Swing State Polling
Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee for president, leads President Trump in most national polls, and surveys conducted even this far out have tended to roughly resemble the eventual general election results -snip
General Election: Trump vs. Biden
46.8 Biden (D)+4.4
42.4 Trump (R) -snip
Interesting.
Obviously the election is still six months away and things will change, close polls can be off by margin of error that flips the outcome and Trump as the incumbent has every advantage. But Trump's looking far more vulnerable than he should be as the incumbent.
President Donald Trump is losing a critical constituency: voters who see two choices on the ballot—and hate them both.
Unlike in 2016, when a large group of voters who disliked both Trump and Hillary Clinton broke sharply for Trump, the opposite is happening now, according to public polling and private surveys conducted by Republicans and Democrats alike.
It's a significant and often under-appreciated group of voters. Of the nearly 20% of voters who disliked both Clinton and Trump in 2016, Trump outperformed Clinton by about 17 percentage points, according to exit polls.
Four years later, that same group strongly prefers Biden, the polling shows. The former vice president leads Trump by more than 40 percentage points among that group, which accounts for nearly a quarter of registered voters, according to a Monmouth University poll last week.