Originally posted by Bashar Teg
right, everyone's wrong except you. I knew the good news would irritate you. still have to ask: "why"?
I posted the facts right there in your face for you and you snipped the image when you quoted my reply.
You're clearly being dishonest.
I was wrong in my projections of deaths by 400 people. And attributing the reduction in deaths to social distancing when we experienced an uncharacteristic spike in deaths is also wrong. They adjusted their models when it was clear they were sometimes projecting 3x higher than actuals and their data was only 1 or 2 days behind the actuals. It's quite obvious their models were wrong long before the "current date" caught up to their projections - they clearly left their projections at grossly over-inflated figures on purpose. The trends never matched their models at any point regardless of social distancing. And the uncharacteristic spike directly contrasts with the idea or notion that "social distancing policies are working." The trends in the data do not reflect social distancing working at any point when the states enforced their lockdown policies. It's not in the data even when you account for lags.
No guessing needed, you can just look at the data, look at the daily death rate change figures, compare it to their model, and see it's clearly wrong. Then match up the actuals against their projections and then scratch your head why they left daily death figures were sometimes 3x higher than actuals even just projecting 2 days out.
But go ahead and make this about "dadudemon and his craziness." Yes, me posting facts is about me trying to gaslight. Right? It's just more gaslighting by dadudemon. 👆