Originally posted by Silent Master
Your numbers are way off https://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/ascii/vdhb.txtIOW, 1 of 4 cases of burglary when someone is at home involves "some form of violent victimization"
I don't think my numbers are off actually, your link supports my number of 1 million burglaries (with someone present) and while your link claims 430 (in which case I would be somewhat off), that data is from 2003-2007, and this fact check from 2017 supports the number I gave: "Every year, there are about 100 burglary homicides in the U.S" -
I'm being pedantic though, I think you have a valuable point, looking just as homicides is much too limited. There are other forms of violence that are much more likely. Still though, 1 in 4 cases have some form of assault, that could be pushing the person to get away, minor injury in 30% of these cases and major injury in 9%. It doesn't go into it how this changes if the victim was armed as far as I can tell.
Still, if you have a gun, that should probably change the chances somewhat, since you are unlikely to be killed at least, I do think some form of making noise or turning on lights is a reasonable first step, before shooting someone.
A very interesting stat pertaining to the question at hand is perhaps this: "One or more household members knew the offenders in some manner in 65% of the 266,560 burglaries that took place while someone
was present and experienced violence "
Like with many crimes (rape for example), rather than "stranger danger" it seems that it is people we know that are much more dangerous to us.
Your link was very informative, thank you for sharing it.