Ok, Rade, you are happy to self-terminate if you are the Clone. Yet you cannot find in your reasoning any form of distinguishment at all?
That's odd, becauyse you ARE distinguishing. You are choosing to drink on the idea you have the 'initiative'. From an objective point of view, this is NOT random- it is simply ignorant. It is almost certainly not 50/50. You cannot say with any certainty that there is a 50/50 chance that this means you have got it right or wrong because you cannot advance any criteria via which an distinction can be made and so therefore you have no idea WHAT the odds are. Say there might be some very important reason that makes you the clone, that you have simply missed. In which case, drinking yourself actually gives you a 100% chance of success. You have not fouind such a reason but nor can you prove that no such reason exists, because basically you cannot advance anything at all.
(Do remember that that die rolling for real/clone thing is info I have given you OUTSIDE the game; it is not a way in which your characters are thinking)
You have chosen to distinguish on a criteria that is seperate to the issue of who is the Clone. Are you happy to self-terminate on THAT criteria? If so, why? As it sees, that is not leaving it to random chance, but to another concept entirely- hope.
If you can turn the answers to such questions into a viable submission, that works a hell of a lot better than, say, flipping a coin. However, "I will simply hope I am right" doesn't count as engaing either, if you were thinking of taking an easy way out...
Castor, perhaps I might better put the point this way- the only circumstance under which you would self-terminate is if you KNEW you were the clone. But you have no way of knowing that. Therefore you will not self-terminate.