spetznaz
Senior Fanboy Killer
Simple ...Cable wins.
Why?
Because it has been shown that one of the things that Wolverine's vaunted (read: Oft quoted and fanboy imbued) Adamantium claws cannot cut through is a forcefield.
Guess what Cable can throw up, down, about (and for a price he can even do so to Christmas carols)! Yep, forcefields.
What is even more interesting is that once an X-team (included Wolvie, Nightcrawler, Psylocke, Colossus, Rogue, and maybe one or two I have forgotten .......plus Lady Deathstrike who had joined them after almost being killed by some Omega Sentinels) went against Stryfe (in essence, a clone of Cable).
Now, Wolvie did his whole (rather stupid and myopic) berserker attack against Stryfe, but his claws couldn't even pass through (at which point Stryfe told him that even though his claws can cut through almost anything, one of the things they cannot cut through is a forcefield ....particularly one backed by one of the most powerful minds yadayadayada).
Now, you have the clawed Mutie going against one of the more formidable psionic types around. A mutie who needs to be within physical reach of his foe to do harm, versus a potent mutant who can flay your skin from your bones with his bloody mind. A mutant whose major offensive potential is his (rather effective) claws, against someone whose offensive potential stems from his psionic capability (implying TK, TP, and with applied use even PK). A short runt of a Canadian versus some hombre who can literally make you kill yourself simply by planting the thought in ya noggin'!
Oh ....and to that add the fact that there is NOTHING that Wolverine could do to hurt Cable. Cable is absolutely invulnerable to Wolverine as long as he keeps his TK shields up. Now, it has been shown that it is possible to overload even the most powerful shields, but that capability is (sadly) not within Wolverine's grasp. All he could do is hack and slash and hack and slash and hack and ......to no avail.
Conclusion: Wolverine is out of his league here. He has no way of harming Cable, and Cable has several ingenious ways of hurting Wolverine (yes, I have priced Wolvie's 'healing factor' into that statement).
Asking if Wolverine can defeat Cable is ltantamount to asking if the Huntress can defeat Manchester Black! Or if Cyborg can defeat Despero. Or if Jubilee can triumph against Onslaught.
Cable 10/10.
Unless Wolverine miraculously develops other powers that can enable him to stand up to one of the more powerful TK/TP/Psi types around. And as far as I know Wolverine is still an 'Adamantium claw-Healing factor' pony.