CosmicComet
Senior Member
Originally posted by Esau Cairn
People tend to forget Heath died after making TDK & midway through his next project working with Terry Gilliam.
A matter of timing, Heath Ledger died mere months BEFORE TDK came out.
During the final phases before release.
His last film was released posthumously, well over a year after his death, in fact almost 2 years after in the states.
Even still, its not like his last film was a bomb, it was a small budget movie which more than doubled it.
People talk about Batman as if he is this automatic billion seller now, but I don't buy that at all. He is consistently extremely under 1 billion, hell he is consistently extremely under even half a billion, there is a good chance that TDK ad TDKR will prove to be outliers.
Batman Begins had great word of mouth, and it still did noticeably under 400 million. Hell, it didn't even make 375--even the first Michael Keaton Batman movie just barely cracked 400 million.
There is no single other factor that stands out for the 2nd Noland movie to suddenly almost triple the first movie's take in. The Joker being included is no reason either, since fans of his are most likely going to be fans of Batman in the first place, so he sells to the same crowd.
I wager that a great chunk of Batman's fanbase comes from Christopher Nolan's representation of the character, specifically starting from TDK, and they don't know anything else.
This Batman doesn't have the goodwill that Bale has generated, this Batman doesn't have the goodwill that Nolan has generated either, neither of those names are attached to this movie. This is a fresh Batman that a lot of people still aren't sure about, whereas people responded positively from day one to Bale's casting choice.
Again, don't be surprised if this movie makes less than either TDK or TDR, or barely equals them, and it will be because of the hype of seeing these two on screen for the first time together.
It won't be due to Batman alone, as Batman's value might have gotten a temporary, artificial boost through the Nolanverse, a boost that may no longer have a great effect.
Again, those movies might prove to be outliers, and Batman's true value might be less than what they made them seem to be.
If this was still Baleman though, with all his momentum (canon, character developlment, cast etc.) from his three movies carrying over, then absolutely, this would be a sure fire billion+ with no question at all. I would probably rate it as having a great shot of outdoing Avengers 1 or 2. Baleman was a beast.