2020 Presidential Election Discussion

Originally posted by Robtard
Florida as of 9/8/2020 Biden is 1.2+ lead: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_biden-6841.html

Arizona as of 9/06/20 Biden is 5.7+ lead: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/az/arizona_trump_vs_biden-6807.html

Texas as of 9/02/2020 Trump is 3.5+ lead: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/tx/texas_trump_vs_biden-6818.html

Trump vs Clinton in Florida 2016, Trump had a 0.4+ lead average: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html

Was wrong about Texas using RCP, but Trump should be way ahead here like he was in 2016 with an almost 12 point lead: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/tx/texas_trump_vs_clinton-5694.html

I will quote my post but with screenshots:

Originally posted by dadudemon
I checked and Trump is leading by a significant margin in Texas:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/tx/texas_trump_vs_biden-6818.html

Originally posted by dadudemon
Biden is leading by a significant margin in Arizona:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/az/arizona_trump_vs_biden-6807.html

Originally posted by dadudemon
And in Florida, the lead Biden had is almost completely gone with 1 out of 5 of the recent polls now showing Trump ahead, 1 out of the 5 showing a tie, and 3 out of the 5 showing Biden ahead:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_biden-6841.html#polls

Originally posted by dadudemon
In Florida, 2016, Clinton was ahead a majority of the time in the majority of the polls:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5963.html#polls

If even 1 out o the 5 major pollsters shows Trump ahead the next polling cycle (based on the trend, it is moving in that direction), that puts Trump further ahead in Florida in 2020 than in 2016.

And to your last point, at this time, in 2016, Trump was up by 6, not 12 as you stated:

Not sure why you posted shots of the same thing I posted since we're not disagreeing apparently, but okay.

I said "almost 12", in regards to the RC average, which was 11.7, which is almost 12.

Originally posted by Robtard
Not sure why you posted shots of the same thing I posted since we're not disagreeing apparently, but okay.

I said "almost 12", in regards to the RC average, which was 11.7, which is almost 12.

I guess it was around 6% in September 2016? Best justification I've got.

If they go back to 12% then Trump wins the state. The dems are pretty good in most states anyway.

Originally posted by Blakemore
I guess it was around 6% in September 2016? Best justification I've got.

If they go back to 12% then Trump wins the state. The dems are pretty good in most states anyway.

A given poll had it at 6% on 9/10/2016, if you look lower another poll had it as high as 11% a month prior. Why I went with total averages and not cherrypicked a single poll.

Not sure where Trump will end up in TX this time around when all is said and done.

So Trump wins TX. Considering the rust belt will mostly go for Biden and even f'ing Arizona will go for Biden, Trump has a lot of ground to cover.

Stop crying and clinging to polls, Trump isn't going to win it's okay.

Originally posted by Surtur
Stop crying and clinging to polls, Trump isn't going to win it's okay.

Surt has been saying he doesn’t think Trump will win for a while.

Originally posted by Blakemore
So you're saying Biden will win?

No man the corpse of Ross Perot will win via write-in.

Can you imagine if he does though?

What will people do?

Originally posted by BrolyBlack
Can you imagine if he does though?

What will people do?

Democrats have all but come out and said if Trump wins unless he wins by landslide there will be violence.

Nothing. It will be much less shocking than his initial win.

Originally posted by BackFire
Nothing. It will be much less shocking than his initial win.

I disagree. The idea is that Trump has truly exposed who he really is since he won. This is the narrative pushed, so I do think at least certain groups will be utterly shocked.

Originally posted by Surtur
No man the corpse of Ross Perot will win via write-in.

Originally posted by BackFire
Nothing. It will be much less shocking than his initial win.

I disagree completely. Cities will burn, they have already said they are going to burn them if he wins.

"they?"

Originally posted by Blakemore
You mean Ralph Nader?

He's not even dead.

Originally posted by Robtard
Not sure why you posted shots of the same thing I posted since we're not disagreeing apparently, but okay.

I said "almost 12", in regards to the RC average, which was 11.7, which is almost 12.

Why are you unsure of why I would post screenshots of the links I provided? Seems rather obvious why I would take screenshots of the links I provided.

And to the other parts, this is very important:

Originally posted by dadudemon
And to your last point, at this time, in 2016, Trump was up by 6, not 12 as you stated:

Yeah but...gaslighting and stuff.